CPRC Study Examines Transgender Representation in Active Shooting Attacks

February 22, 2026
8:10 pm

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A bombshell study from the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) just dropped, revealing that transgender individuals are 12 times more likely to commit active shooting attacks than their share of the U.S. population would predict. Crunching data from 2018-2024 under strict FBI definitions of active shooter incidents—excluding gang violence, drug deals, or domestic disputes—the researchers found just 4 out of 316 attackers identified as transgender. Yet, with trans folks comprising about 0.5-1% of the population per CDC estimates, that's a wildly disproportionate 4% of these high-profile rampages. Names like Audrey Hale (Nashville, 2023) and Anderson Lee Aldrich (Club Q, 2022)—both trans-identifying—stand out, underscoring a pattern that's impossible to ignore without statistical blinders. This isn't just trivia; it's a wake-up call for the 2A community amid a media blitz blaming guns for every tragedy. While outlets obsess over AR-15s and assault weapons, CPRC's work spotlights mental health crises and ideological extremism often intertwined with gender dysphoria—factors gun-grabbers conveniently sideline. Transgender ideology, pushed aggressively in schools and culture, correlates with skyrocketing youth mental health issues, including a 4,000% surge in teen girls identifying as trans since 2010. These attackers frequently exhibit manifestos railing against cisnormativity or targeting Christian schools, echoing patterns in non-trans mass killers influenced by radical fringes. For 2A advocates, this reinforces that disarmament fantasies won't stop deranged ideologues who bypass laws via black-market guns or legal purchases—Hale and Aldrich both obtained firearms legally despite red flags ignored by authorities. The implications? Double down on armed self-defense, school hardening, and rejecting red flag laws that strip rights without due process, disproportionately hitting law-abiding gun owners. Politicized narratives painting all shooters as straight white conservatives crumble here, demanding honest discourse on root causes like untreated mental illness over futile accessory bans. 2A isn't about enabling violence; it's the ultimate safeguard when society fractures along these fault lines. Share this study far and wide—truth is our best ammo.

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This isn’t just trivia; it’s a wake-up call for the 2A community amid a media blitz blaming guns for every tragedy. While outlets obsess over AR-15s and assault weapons, CPRC’s work spotlights mental health crises and ideological extremism often intertwined with gender dysphoria—factors gun-grabbers conveniently sideline. Transgender ideology, pushed aggressively in schools and culture, correlates with skyrocketing youth mental health issues, including a 4,000% surge in teen girls identifying as trans since 2010. These attackers frequently exhibit manifestos railing against cisnormativity or targeting Christian schools, echoing patterns in non-trans mass killers influenced by radical fringes. For 2A advocates, this reinforces that disarmament fantasies won’t stop deranged ideologues who bypass laws via black-market guns or legal purchases—Hale and Aldrich both obtained firearms legally despite red flags ignored by authorities.

The implications? Double down on armed self-defense, school hardening, and rejecting red flag laws that strip rights without due process, disproportionately hitting law-abiding gun owners. Politicized narratives painting all shooters as straight white conservatives crumble here, demanding honest discourse on root causes like untreated mental illness over futile accessory bans. 2A isn’t about enabling violence; it’s the ultimate safeguard when society fractures along these fault lines. Share this study far and wide—truth is our best ammo.

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