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Virginia Legislature Moves Semi-Auto and Magazine Ban as RAND Notes Lack of Evidence in Deterring Violent Crime

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The Virginia General Assembly, firmly in Democrat hands, is barreling ahead with a sweeping ban on commonly owned semi-automatic firearms and standard-capacity magazines—despite a fresh RAND Corporation report underscoring the glaring lack of evidence that such measures deter violent crime. This isn’t just legislative overreach; it’s a masterclass in ignoring data for political theater. RAND’s exhaustive review of studies on assault weapon bans found inconclusive results at best, with no causal link to reduced gun violence, mass shootings, or even homicides. Yet here we are, watching lawmakers in Richmond treat AR-15s and Glock mags like public enemy number one, all while Virginia’s actual crime stats show criminals favoring handguns and illegal full-autos smuggled from out of state. It’s the classic gun-grabber playbook: ban the law-abiding’s tools, pretend it fixes the streets.

Dig deeper, and this smells like a trial balloon for the national stage. Virginia’s purple-to-blue shift post-2019 elections flipped the script, turning a once-moderate legislature into a lab for Bloomberg-funded fantasies. Remember the 2020 pushback? Armed citizens at lobby day forced a retreat on similar bills. Now, with Governor Youngkin’s veto pen dulled by slim GOP margins in the House, this HB 2 and SB 2 combo could redefine assault weapon so broadly it swallows up everything from your deer rifle to your home-defense pistol. Implications for the 2A community are stark: expect court battles echoing New York’s SAFE Act smackdown, but with real-world fallout. Law-abiding Virginians—hunters, sport shooters, concealed carriers—face felony risks overnight, driving black-market premiums and compliance chaos. Nationally, it fuels the red-flag narrative that common use firearms aren’t protected under Heller and Bruen.

Gun owners, this is your wake-up call. Virginia’s not just a statehouse skirmish; it’s ground zero for testing how far anti-2A zealots will stretch public safety before SCOTUS slaps them down again. Rally your networks, flood the capitol switchboards, and support orgs like GOA and VCDL pouring resources into recalls and lawsuits. The evidence is on our side—RAND said it, stats back it—but politics demands vigilance. If Virginia falls, expect copycats in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan. Stand firm; our rights aren’t up for grabs.

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