Another day, another study drops like a lead balloon, claiming that stricter gun laws magically slash school shootings. This latest entry, breathlessly touted in headlines, purports to show a correlation between state-level restrictions—like assault weapon bans and universal background checks—and fewer incidents on campus. But hold onto your holsters, because the fine print raises more red flags than a communist parade. The researchers cherry-pick data from a narrow timeframe (say, post-2018), ignoring the glaring fact that school shootings are exceedingly rare events statistically—fewer than 0.1% of schools see one annually, per FBI data. Correlation isn’t causation, folks; these findings conveniently sidestep confounders like improved school security, socioeconomic factors, and the mental health crisis exploding among youth, which no law can legislate away.
Dig deeper, and the methodology crumbles faster than a wet paper target. Many of the stricter states they praise, like California and New York, still endure high-profile shootings despite their draconian regimes—think Saugus High or Uvalde’s precursors. Meanwhile, shall-issue concealed carry states like Florida (post-Parkland reforms) and Texas have seen proactive armed responses halt attacks in their tracks, from the deputy at Forest High to the good guys at Sutherland Springs. This study’s authors, often affiliated with gun-control advocacy groups, recycle the same flawed models debunked by peer-reviewed work from John Lott’s Crime Prevention Research Center, which shows permitless carry reduces mass violence by empowering the law-abiding. It’s not science; it’s activism dressed in lab coat drag, funded by the same billionaires pushing for disarmed populaces.
For the 2A community, this is catnip for complacency if we let it slide—implications scream more of the same: incremental erosions leading to outright confiscation. But it’s also a rallying cry. We’ve crushed similar nonsense before, from the CDC’s own 2013 admission that guns prevent up to 2.5 million crimes yearly to Supreme Court smackdowns like Bruen affirming our rights. Share this takedown, hit the range, and vote like your liberty depends on it—because studies like this prove it does. The real reduction in school violence? Arm the good guys, secure the doors, and fix the broken culture. Period.
