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Poll: Rep. Jasmine Crockett Leads in Texas Democratic Senate Primary

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Rep. Jasmine Crockett’s surprise surge to the top of the Texas Democratic Senate primary poll from the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs isn’t just a blip on the radar—it’s a flashing red light for Second Amendment advocates watching the 2026 midterms. Crockett, the firebrand Dallas congresswoman known for her viral congressional smackdowns and unapologetic progressive rhetoric, now leads the pack in a field that includes other heavy hitters vying for the chance to challenge Sen. John Cornyn. This poll drop, capturing her at a commanding lead among likely Democratic primary voters, underscores how the party’s left flank is doubling down on cultural warriors over pragmatic moderates in a state that’s turned ruby-red on guns but still boasts a massive Democratic primary electorate fueled by urban turnout.

For the 2A community, Crockett’s frontrunner status is a worst-case scenario wrapped in a viral meme. She’s no stranger to gun control advocacy, having co-sponsored H.R. 8—the universal background check bill—and repeatedly pushed for assault weapons bans while framing firearms as tools of systemic violence in her district. In a general election against Cornyn, a steadfast NRA ally with a lifetime A+ rating, Crockett would weaponize Texas’s urban-rural divide, rallying Houston and Dallas voters with promises of common-sense reforms that could include red flag laws or magazine limits tailored to erode Texas’s robust carry rights. Don’t be fooled by her charisma; her record screams federal overreach, and a strong primary showing could drag the Democratic nominee leftward, forcing Cornyn to spend millions defending bedrock protections like permitless carry.

The implications ripple far beyond the Lone Star State: a energized Crockett-led primary signals Democrats are betting big on nationalizing gun issues post-2024, potentially teeing up ballot initiatives or Senate showdowns on ATF nominations. 2A patriots should take note—ramp up Cornyn’s support early, flood Texas airwaves with Crockett’s anti-gun clips, and mobilize rural turnout to crush the primary field. If she clinches the nomination, expect a brutal slugfest where every AR-15 in Texas becomes a campaign flashpoint. Stay vigilant; our rights hang in the balance.

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