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New Research: 43 Murders With Glock Switches Over Five Years — Fewer Than Lightning Strikes

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In a country where more than 20,000 people are murdered every year, the discovery that Glock-switch-equipped pistols accounted for just 43 homicides over a five-year span lands like a statistical thunderclap—especially when the same period saw 228 fatal lightning strikes. That tiny fraction, roughly eight incidents annually, undercuts the breathless narrative that “machine-gun conversion devices” are flooding the streets and driving urban violence. Instead, the data suggest these illegal devices remain rare contraband, concentrated in the hands of already-prohibited persons who were committing felonies long before they acquired a $20 piece of stamped metal.

For the Second Amendment community the takeaway is straightforward: rarity does not justify rarity of rights. Law-abiding gun owners who never handle a switch still face magazine bans, “assault weapon” prohibitions, and red-flag laws sold on the premise that such accessories are ubiquitous. If regulators truly followed the evidence, resources would shift from chasing an almost mythical gadget toward prosecuting the repeat violent offenders whose body counts actually move the needle. The Glock-switch panic, like earlier scares over “cop-killer bullets” and “shoulder things that go up,” collapses under its own numbers once someone bothers to count.

The deeper implication is that policy built on anecdotes rather than actuarial tables will always overreach. When lightning is statistically more lethal than a device the media treats as a national emergency, the prudent response is not another symbolic restriction on the 120 million legally owned semiautomatic pistols in circulation; it is a renewed commitment to enforcing existing law against the tiny cohort already barred from possessing firearms at all.

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