California’s attorney general Xavier Becerra is already telegraphing the only campaign he knows how to run: blame everything on Donald Trump and hope voters forget that the Golden State now leads the nation in homelessness, poverty, and out-migration. Jonathan Martin’s observation on Real Time is spot-on—Becerra’s playbook is to turn every debate into a referendum on a president who hasn’t held office in years rather than defend the record of a state whose middle class is fleeing and whose cities are visibly unraveling. For the 2A community that means another four years of the same reflexive lawfare that produced magazine bans, “assault weapon” restrictions, and the serial targeting of FFLs under the guise of “public safety.”
The deeper problem is structural. California’s one-party dominance has removed any electoral penalty for anti-gun policies, so Becerra can posture as the firewall against phantom Trumpian threats while quietly expanding the state’s roster of prohibited persons, red-flag regimes, and microstamping mandates that no manufacturer can meet. That insulation from accountability is exactly why the 2022 election matters beyond Sacramento: a credible Republican challenger who forces the conversation onto crime rates, Proposition 47’s revolving-door justice, and the practical effect of gun-control laws on law-abiding carriers would expose how little of Becerra’s agenda actually improves public safety. If the race stays nationalized, those granular failures stay buried.
For gun owners the takeaway is straightforward—don’t let the campaign be conducted entirely on Becerra’s terms. Every time the conversation drifts back to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, redirect it to the measurable results of California’s gun laws: the continued rise in stolen firearms, the proliferation of ghost guns among criminals who already ignore background checks, and the steady erosion of shall-issue carry. The 2A community has the data and the anecdotes; the only question is whether the candidate willing to use them can break through the Trump-centric noise.